Midland States Bancorp Stock Performance

MSBI Stock  USD 22.80  0.06  0.26%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Midland States holds a performance score of 22. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.61, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Midland States are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Midland States is likely to outperform the market. Please check Midland States' downside variance, day median price, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and kurtosis , to make a quick decision on whether Midland States' current price movements will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Midland States Bancorp are ranked lower than 22 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite fairly weak fundamental drivers, Midland States demonstrated solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
 
Midland States dividend paid on 21st of November 2025
11/21/2025
Begin Period Cash Flow135.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities136.7 M

Midland States Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,562  in Midland States Bancorp on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  718.00  from holding Midland States Bancorp or generate 45.97% return on investment over 90 days. Midland States Bancorp is currently generating 0.6472% in daily expected returns and assumes 2.2876% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 20% of stocks are less volatile than Midland, and 87% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Midland States is expected to generate 3.07 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.07 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.28 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of risk.

Midland States Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Midland Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 22.80 90 days 22.80 
about 14.35
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Midland States to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 14.35 (This Midland States Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Midland Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Midland States Bancorp has a beta of -0.61. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Midland States are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Midland States Bancorp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Midland States Bancorp has an alpha of 0.6686, implying that it can generate a 0.67 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Midland States Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Midland States

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Midland States Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.5122.8025.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.9321.2223.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
21.2723.5525.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.5422.2023.86
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Midland States. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Midland States' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Midland States' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Midland States Bancorp.

Midland States Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Midland States is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Midland States' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Midland States Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Midland States within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.67
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.61
σ
Overall volatility
2.94
Ir
Information ratio 0.26

Midland States Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Midland States for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Midland States Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Midland States Fundamentals Growth

Midland Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Midland States, and Midland States fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Midland Stock performance.

About Midland States Performance

By evaluating Midland States' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Midland States' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Midland States has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Midland States has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Midland States Bancorp, Inc. operates as a financial holding company for Midland States Bank that provides various banking products and services to individuals, businesses, municipalities, and other entities. The company was founded in 1881 and is headquartered in Effingham, Illinois. Midland Sts operates under BanksRegional classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 864 people.

Things to note about Midland States Bancorp performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Midland States for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Midland States Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Evaluating Midland States' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Midland States' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Midland States' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Midland States' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Midland States' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Midland States' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Midland States' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Midland States' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Midland States' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Midland States' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Midland States' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Midland States' price analysis, check to measure Midland States' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Midland States is operating at the current time. Most of Midland States' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Midland States' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Midland States' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Midland States to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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